An Integrated Geophysical and Geotechnical Assessment of Hazards Around the Abu Serga Church

Author(s): Sayed Hemeda * .

DOI: 10.2174/9789814998727121010006

Seismic Hazard Analysis Theory and Methodology

Pp: 51-58 (8)

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  • * (Excluding Mailing and Handling)

Abstract

SHS investigation development is considered from the geographical and historical viewpoint. 3 stages are described. Within Stage 1 the work was carried out in the Department of the Institute of Chemical Physics in Chernogolovka where the scientific discovery had been made. At Stage 2 the interest to SHS arose in different cities and towns of the former USSR. Within Stage 3 SHS entered the international scene. Now SHS processes and products are being studied in more than 50 countries.

Abstract

The probabilistic approach of earthquake hazard analysis aims at estimating the likelihood (probability) that any specified level of ground motion intensity will be attained or exceeded in an arbitrary future time period due to the trigger of earthquakes from potential seismic sources.

The analytical approach used to carry out probabilistic seismic hazard analysis is described in detail by Cornell, 1968; 1971; Esteva, 1969; Merz and Cornell, 1973; Cornell and Merz, 1975 and McGuire and Arabasz, 1990. The probabilistic seismic hazard assessment requires all the available information on seismicity and geotectonics of the examined region and regional attenuation characteristics of the ground motion as well as the adoption of a stochastic model for the forecasting of future earthquake occurrences.

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