Abstract
Background: Social influence estimation is an important aspect of viral marketing. The
majority of the influence estimation models for online social networks are either based on
Independent Cascade (IC) or Linear Threshold (LT) models. These models are based on some
hypothesis: (1) process of influence is irreversible; (2) classification of user’s status is binary, i.e.,
either influenced or non-influenced; (3) process of influence is either single person’s dominance or
collective dominance but not both at the same time. However, these assumptions are not always
valid in the real world, as human behavior is unpredictable.
Objective: To develop a generalized model to handle the primary assumptions of the existing
influence estimation models.
Methods: This paper proposes a Behavior Balancing (BB) Model, which is a hybrid of IC and LT
models and counters the underlying assumptions of the contemporary models.
Results: The efficacy of the proposed model to deal with various scenarios is evaluated over six
different twitter election integrity datasets. Results depict that BB model is able to handle the
stochastic behavior of the user with up to 35% improved accuracy in influence estimation as
compared to the contemporary counterparts.
Conclusion: The BB model employs the activity or interaction information of the user over the
social network platform in the estimation of diffusion and allows any user to alter their opinion at
any time without compromising the accuracy of the predictions.
Keywords:
Diffusion Model, Hybrid model, Independent Cascade, Influence estimation, Influence Maximization, Linear Threshold, Social Network Analysis.
Graphical Abstract
[1]
"Statista - The Statistics Portal for Market Data, Market Research and Market Studies", https://www.statista.com
[3]
David Kempe, and Jon Kleinberg, "Maximizing the Spread of Influence through a Social Network", Theory OF Computing, vol. 11, no. 4, pp. 105-147, 2015.
[5]
J.T. Khim, V. Jog, and P-L. Loh, "Computing and maximizing influence in linear threshold and triggering models", Adv. Neural Inf. Process. Syst., vol. 12, pp. 4538-4546, 2016.
[7]
S. Raghavan, and Rui Zhang, "Weighted target set selection on social networks", The Robert H. smith school of business and institute for systems research, University of Maryland Maryland, USA, Tech. Rep., 2015.
[8]
B. Ryan, and N.C. Gross, "The diffusion of hybrid seed corn in two Iowa communities", Rural Sociol., vol. 8, no. 1, p. 15, 1943.
[9]
S. Agarwal, and S. Mehta, "Multi-perspective Elicitation of Influential Parameters and Measures in Social Network", International Journal of Innovative Technology and Exploring Engineering, vol. 8, no. 8, pp. 2560-2571, 2019.
[23]
D. Gunnec, "Integrating social network effects in product design and diffusion", Diss, 2012.
[26]
J. Tang, J. Sun, C. Wang, and Z. Yang, "Social influence analysis in large-scale networks", Proceedings of the 15th ACM SIGKDD international conference on Knowledge discovery and data mining, 2009, pp. 807-816.
[28]
D. Science, "6 Easy Steps to Learn Naive Bayes Algorithm (with code in Python)", Analytics Vidhya.
[29]
I. Rish, "An empirical study of the naive Bayes classifier", In: IJCAI 2001 workshop on empirical methods in artificial intelligence, vol. 3. 2001, no. 22, pp. 41-46.
[30]
About.twitter.com, "Elections integrity", https://about.twitter.com/en_us/values/elections-integrity.html#data